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Hungarian Geographical Bulletin

Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
ISSN 2064-5031, E-ISSN 2064-5147


2014. VOL. 63. No 4.

Article details
Title
Estimated changes of drought tendency in the Carpathian Basin
Authors
Judit SÁBITZ - Rita PONGRÁCZ - Judit BARTHOLY
DOI
10.15201/hungeobull.63.4.1
Volume
63/4. 365-378. (2014)
Abstract
Drought conditions are often characterized by various drought indices. In this paper different types of indices (i.e. standardized precipitation anomaly index, SAI, Thornthwaite’s aridity index, TAI, and Ped’s drought index, PDI) are used to estimate the future changes in drought conditions in the Carpathian Basin. For this purpose 25 km horizontal resolution gridded outputs of several regional climate models are used from the project ENSEMBLES covering the period 1951–2100 and taking into account the A1B emissions scenario. The results suggest remarkable drying in the region, especially, in summer, which emphasize the importance of developing appropriate adaptation strategies addressing this issue.
Keywords
drought index, ENSEMBLES, regional climate model simulation, climate change
Published online
2014. 12. 03.
References